Posted by michaelmee on June 5, 2008
Do it. I dare you.
Clinton supporters who are blinded by ambition and sore-losership who threaten to vote for McCain in order to sabotage the election of the first African American candidate for President, to you I say: Try your best.
Because you will fail. You are not strong enough.
The Obama coalition is large enough to win without the fanatic Hillary base.
Obama projects to win the general election as is. Even while Hillary supporters go off the deep end of racial hatred in Ohio following the lead of lunatic feminist crazy person Geraldine Ferraro, causing Obama to attract only SIXTY-FIVE PERCENT of the Democratic Party vote - he still ties McCain in the state.
So let the rational people handle the politics. When Senator Obama is sworn in, don’t forget you voted against Womens rights. What a story to tell your grandchildren about the Feminist movement, huh?
Good riddance.
Posted in Barack Obama, Hillary Clinton, John McCain, Polls, Pwns, Thoughts | Tagged: Barack Obama, clinton, Gerladine Ferraro, Hillary, McCain, Ohio | 2 Comments »
Posted by michaelmee on June 4, 2008
I said Obama should pick Hillary.
Her speech killed that idea.
Posted in Uncategorized | No Comments »
Posted by michaelmee on June 3, 2008
This will be a hard one, because there aren’t many numbers to look at. With that said, there is enough to make a guess.
Montana
Obama needs to win Montana. Losing this state would be a devastating embarrassment to his campaign. The two most recent polls both have him winning in this state. In national polls, Obama has a higher favorability rating than Senator Clinton within this state.
Obama - 54%
Clinton - 46%
South Dakota
This state is a bit harder to predict. Drudge Report reported that Clinton camp expects a 25 point win. There’s only one recent poll, favoring Clinton. But the region seems to favor Obama. In the ARG poll, they write “Clinton leads 57% to 38% among voters age 18 to 49″. This is wildly inconsistent with national average. This one goes down to the wire like Missouri.
Obama - 51.5%
Clinton - 48.5%
Posted in Barack Obama, Hillary Clinton, Montana, Polls, South Dakota, Thoughts | Tagged: clinton, Montana, obama, primary, South Dakota | No Comments »
Posted by michaelmee on May 27, 2008
I recently said Obama should pick Clinton as Vice President.
Later that same day, Clinton make a controversial remark relating this campaign and RFK’s assassination.
This… raises some doubts, along with what I feel has been an increasingly combative campaign by the Clintons, as to whether the unity ticket was possible. I, perhaps naively, believed that Clinton would drop out after the Montana / South Dakota primary. Her recent language leads me to believe this may not be the case.
So here is a list of who I think SHOULD be the vice presidential candidate, in top five standings. I’ll keep this updated.
1. Evan Bayh
I look at the electoral map a lot. The way I currently read things, Obama will need to win Michigan and one of the following: Ohio, Indiana, Virginia, Wisconsin. He’s been polling pretty close in Indiana, and I think Bayh would deliver the state as well as help in the general midwest, including Ohio.
2. Chuck Hagel
I’d rank him number one, but Hagel has shown too much apprehension at the concept and perhaps disagrees with Obama on too many issues. If he is willing to play second fiddle and not disrupt the campaign, I think he’d be ideal. And I’m not sure he would deliver any state. He might help in Virginia, though.
3. Ted Strickland
Among the list of states that Obama needs to win one from, Ohio might come the most easily. Especially with their popular governor on the ticket. Some people seem to believe selecting a Hillary supporter would attract Hillary’s supporters, but I disagree. Anyone but Hillary will alienate them further.
4. Hillary Clinton
This would be the most winning choice in terms of electoral votes. But Hillary has to make it happen. She keeps digging the “not-getting-picked-as-VP” hole deeper. It’s time to put away the shovel if she wants a chance on the ticket.
5. Bill Richardson
Although it seems like Obama’s people may not be too keen on this strategy, going after Colorado, Nevada, and New Mexico is another viable path to the Presidency. Richardson would help there.
Posted in Barack Obama, Commentary, Hillary Clinton, John McCain, Polls, Sanity | Tagged: Bayh, clinton, Hagel, McCain, obama, Richardson, Strickland, vice president | No Comments »
Posted by michaelmee on May 23, 2008
Obama should select Hillary Clinton as Vice President.
There is a common trend in the media that he doesn’t need her, that she doesn’t fix any of his problems, that she doesn’t help him in any states he needs help in. I often wonder, on this blog, whether the media simply doesn’t know the statistical information that’s showing up in the polls and therefore it isn’t that they have some secret plan to misrepresent the facts, they are simply uninformed.
Drudge Report recently cited CNN as saying the Obama and Clinton campaigns have begun talks over Clinton ending her campaign and then ending up as Obama’s VP. And Obama has to take this deal.
Obama only needs to win Ohio. He has a huge base and should steamroll McCain in the general election. But the media is right about one thing, right now, the polls aren’t THAT good for Senator Obama. They say “he can’t win the white voters” and other things. Or that he needs to pick someone from Ohio or Pennsylvania.
I disagree. Obama’s biggest problem in the upcoming election is Democrats. Pundits say they will come back to him once Hillary leaves the race, and he needs them to. Obama is looking at less than 70% support from Democrats in some states that he is losing. In some states less than 60% of Democrats say they’ll vote for him. And guess what? He is still within single digits in many of those polls.
Obama is out-polling McCain among moderates and independents. His problem is not the middle, it’s the conservative left, and Hillary has shaped her campaign in such a way to become their unofficial spokesperson (a little ironic, I know). If the Democratic party unites, with a Obama Clinton ticket, there will be a major shift in the national map. Obama has been polling 5% down in Texas - Hillary will help him among Democrats there. He could make a play for Texas, and if he wins Texas, obviously, McCain wouldn’t have a chance in the world.
Obama might not need Clinton. I think he’d probably win without her. But I’d say he has a 3/5 chance to win without Clinton and a 4/5 chance to win with her, and that is a pretty big boost from a VP candidate.
Posted in Barack Obama, Hillary Clinton, John McCain, Polls, Thoughts | Tagged: clinton, General Election, McCain, obama, Presidency, vice president | 1 Comment »
Posted by michaelmee on May 22, 2008
The media… Oh the media…
CNN recently posted an article claiming Clinton did better in swing states.
Their evidence? Polls from Pennsylvania, Ohio, and Florida.
Obama will win Pennsylvania. He is “losing” by 4% in Ohio and Florida. Very close to, if not within, the margin of error. Yet this makes CNN news as a headline.
Why does the media continue to perpetuate this myth? Are they simply uninformed? When people are obviously rooting for Obama on MSNBC, why don’t they point out the obvious? Why do they allude and reinforce the perception that Clinton is a stronger candidate?
I don’t have an answer.
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michaelmee
Michigan, Florida, and a whole lot of Stupid
Posted by michaelmee on May 31, 2008
This has been going on for a while. For those of you not paying attention or not in the United States. Basically, Florida and Michigan’s states legislatures passed laws moving their primaries to dates that violated Democratic Party rules.
There was no problem for a while on this topic until it became clear that the results of these two elections would effect the overall winner of the Democratic primary.
Today, the DNC is holding a hearing, under the rules and bylaws committee, on how to - and whether or not to - seat the delegates from these two states.
Unfortunately, with the politicizing of this discussion, the emotional and illogical reactions have underminded any effort to resolve this reasonably. Not only has the Clinton campaign and their supporters essentially stripped the national party of their power, they have stripped the party of its overall ability to function in such situations.
By turning this into a battle for the rights of voters, rights which the courts have unanimously and quickly decided don’t and have never existed, the Clinton campaign has both taken a gigantic crap on the legitimate right to vote, it has essentially made a mockery of the primary system.
With the ongoing hearings today, there will be nothing achieved but the further destruction of the Democratic party at the hands of the Clinton campaign. The campaign has achieved a tactical and pretty brilliant strategy. They have turned Clinton, on this issue, into a symbol of resistance to voter oppression when no such voter oppression has occurred.
Overall, I am simply dismayed at a few things. First of all - there is no right to vote to be discussed in this case. The DNC is not a government organization, they are a political party with rules and procedures.
Counting 0 votes for Senator Obama in Michigan, as the Clintons routinely do, is insulting to ANYONES intelligence.
For the Democrats to create some… invisible force of evil, while escaping responsibility for something their own party has created and long respected, is ridiculous. Again, this is an insult to any sane persons intelligence.
So, what do you think, and how should this be resolved?
Posted in Barack Obama, Commentary, Hillary Clinton, North Carolina, Polls, Sanity, Thoughts | Tagged: Democratic, Florida, Michigan | No Comments »