June 3rd: Montana and South Dakota Primary Predictions
Posted by michaelmee on June 3, 2008
This will be a hard one, because there aren’t many numbers to look at. With that said, there is enough to make a guess.
Montana
Obama needs to win Montana. Losing this state would be a devastating embarrassment to his campaign. The two most recent polls both have him winning in this state. In national polls, Obama has a higher favorability rating than Senator Clinton within this state.
Obama - 54%
Clinton - 46%
South Dakota
This state is a bit harder to predict. Drudge Report reported that Clinton camp expects a 25 point win. There’s only one recent poll, favoring Clinton. But the region seems to favor Obama. In the ARG poll, they write “Clinton leads 57% to 38% among voters age 18 to 49″. This is wildly inconsistent with national average. This one goes down to the wire like Missouri.
Obama - 51.5%
Clinton - 48.5%
This entry was posted on June 3, 2008 at 4:47 pm and is filed under Barack Obama, Hillary Clinton, Montana, Polls, South Dakota, Thoughts. Tagged: clinton, Montana, obama, primary, South Dakota. You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed. You can leave a response, or trackback from your own site.
