This will be a hard one, because there aren’t many numbers to look at. With that said, there is enough to make a guess.

Montana

Obama needs to win Montana. Losing this state would be a devastating embarrassment to his campaign. The two most recent polls both have him winning in this state. In national polls, Obama has a higher favorability rating than Senator Clinton within this state.

Obama - 54%

Clinton - 46%

South Dakota

This state is a bit harder to predict. Drudge Report reported that Clinton camp expects a 25 point win. There’s only one recent poll, favoring Clinton. But the region seems to favor Obama. In the ARG poll, they write “Clinton leads 57% to 38% among voters age 18 to 49″. This is wildly inconsistent with national average. This one goes down to the wire like Missouri.

Obama - 51.5%

Clinton - 48.5%